4
Dotties Blue Money
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 46
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 15/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |