1
Officer Gambill
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 58
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
83%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 4/6 | 96% | 63% | -0.34 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 21/09/2026 | 2nd | 1/4 | 99% | 75% | -0.24 |