7
Pray For Victory
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 7 · OR 57
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-08-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 12th | −4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-8 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 30% | -0.56 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/09/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |