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8

Sathwik

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 57

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength11%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 1203/06C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 19/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m Slo 120 · beat its mark19/06/2025 · OR 50 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 39 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 39 par3/07C9OR 39C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 50 · 6f Gd 118 · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 50 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 52 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 52 par14/10C8OR 52C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 62 · 6f 119 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 62 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 64 · 6f Slo 122 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 64 par10/06C5OR 64C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 68 · 5f110y Fas 122 · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 64 · 6f 119 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 64 par10/09C8OR 64projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th11th−3
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2025-11-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st4th−3
2025-10-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd5th−3
2025-09-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th11th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0624/0910/0610/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength5%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/06/202510th25/10%10%+0.10
19/06/20258th40/10%22%+0.22
03/07/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
24/09/20258th25/10%0%0.00
14/10/20252nd33/10%88%+0.88
03/11/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
10/06/20264th20/10%67%+0.67
06/07/20267th20/10%0%0.00
10/09/20268th12/137%0%-0.37