Austin High
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 81
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 09/05/2025 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 9% | -0.72 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 26/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |