5

Daisy Mae Attack
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 55
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 8-11 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 14/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 24/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |