7
Harper Briana
6yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 42
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼2
Strength64%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 72/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 04/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 25/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |