11

Show Pam

3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 11 · OR 52

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼2
Strength77%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 18/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS18/10C6C6 @ Fairmount Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 62 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 62 par5/05C6OR 62C6 @ Fairmount Park 26/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 57 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 57 par26/05C6OR 57C6 @ Fairmount Park 04/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 61 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 61 par4/08C6OR 61C6 @ Fairmount Park 15/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 57 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 57 par15/09C6OR 57projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Fairmount Park?9th7th+2
2026-08-04Fairmount Park?12th10th+2
2026-05-26Fairmount Park?1st-1th+2
2026-05-05Fairmount Park?4th2nd+2
2025-10-18Fairmount Park?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/105/0526/054/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 11-11 · tight 85/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -19.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/10/20255th14/126%43%+0.17
05/05/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
26/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
04/08/202612th9/153%0%-0.53
15/09/20269th12/137%0%-0.37