10
Tizmeonemoretime
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 10 · OR 64
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-11 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength19%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 21/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 29% | -0.62 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |