IvyArcIvyArc
2

Forget About You

3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 2 · OR 95

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 24/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m110y Gd 12024/12C6C6 @ Gulfstream 18/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 92 par18/01C6OR 92C6 @ Gulfstream 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 91 par12/04C6OR 91C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 90 · 1m Gd 121 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 90 par25/06C6OR 90projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-04-12Gulfstream?3rd4th−1
2026-01-18Gulfstream?3rd4th−1
2025-12-24Gulfstream?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1218/0112/0425/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength86%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/12/20255th14/126%50%+0.24
18/01/20263rd16/116%82%+0.66
12/04/20263rd9/153%82%+0.29
25/06/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05