3
Lilmorecraken
5yo Mare · 8-7 · Draw 3 · OR 91
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-10-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-07-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 52/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2024 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 04/06/2024 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 06/07/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 31/07/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 11/09/2024 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 28/10/2024 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 24/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 29/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |