8
Max
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 8 · OR 89
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 33/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 63% | -0.31 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/08/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |