4
Noshametohergame
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 4 · OR 90
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#13
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 2-15 · tight 30/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -35.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 06/09/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |