Rhapsody In Motion
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 6 · OR 89
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 04/09/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 14/11/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 21/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |