7

She's Honed In

3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 7 · OR 83

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Colonial Downs 08/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m Fm 1198/08C7C7 @ Colonial Downs 28/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 81 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark28/08/2025 · OR 81 parC9 @ Oaklawn Park 22/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 61 · 6f 119 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 61 par22/03C9OR 61C9 @ Oaklawn Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 65 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 68 · 1m 121 · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 68 par6/05C6OR 68C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m110y Slo 120 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 72 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 75 · 6f 118 · below its mark22/06/2026 · OR 75 par22/06C5OR 75C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 77 · 1m Slo 118 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 82 · 1m 118 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 82 par2/09C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-05-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-05-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-04-18Oaklawn Park?2nd6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0818/0422/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 47/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength54%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20253rd9/153%82%+0.29
28/08/20256th5/493%38%-0.56
22/03/20265th4/179%33%-0.46
18/04/20262nd7/282%80%-0.02
06/05/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
25/05/20264th14/126%50%+0.24
22/06/20264th13/266%25%-0.41
28/07/20264th12/137%40%+0.03
02/09/20262nd8/158%75%+0.17