5
Tarshea
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-05-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 66/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +19.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 08/07/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |