1
Blazing Freedom
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 1 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength67%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-11-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-10-10 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-11 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 24/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |