3

Instilled Zip

3yo Filly · 8-3 · Draw 3 · OR 76

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength76%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +2.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS18/09C6C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 74 · 5f Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 74 par3/11C5OR 74C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 73 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 73 par10/07C5OR 73C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS22/08C5C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 72 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 72 par16/09C5OR 72projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st-2th+3
2026-08-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th2nd+3
2026-07-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2025-11-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2025-09-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/093/1110/0722/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 49/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength64%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
03/11/20253rd5/174%78%+0.04
10/07/20264th4/179%50%-0.29
22/08/20266th11/271%55%-0.17
16/09/20261st10/382%100%+0.18