Mckinzie's Glory
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 86
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-05-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 16/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 13% | -0.51 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 09/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |