IvyArcIvyArc
10

More Sweets

3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 10 · OR 76

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Churchill Downs 07/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f 1197/11C9C9 @ Turfway Park 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 54 · 6f110y 120 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 54 par23/01C9OR 54C8 @ Turfway Park 11/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 70 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark11/02/2026 · OR 70 par11/02C8OR 70projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-11Turfway Park?4th4th0
2026-01-23Turfway Park?1st2nd−1
2025-11-07Churchill Downs?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1123/0111/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength77%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20254th12/137%50%+0.13
23/01/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
11/02/20264th8/158%67%+0.09