Senora D'oro
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 79
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
60%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 19/12/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 27% | -0.49 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |