IvyArcIvyArc
2

R Different Option

2yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 39

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Maiden · 1f 80y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1f130y Slo 12410/06C8BHA44 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 44 · 1f130y Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 44 par25/0644OR 44C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 28 · 1f130y 124 · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 28 par23/09C8OR 28projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-06-25Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA449th5th+4
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0625/0623/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +35.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20268th25/10%0%0.00
25/06/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
23/09/20263rd25/10%71%+0.71