9
Berkshire Boom
3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 7 · OR 64
Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Kempton | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Sandown | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Chester | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength46%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 10/08/2026 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 15% | -0.43 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |