Eljowhary
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 9 · OR 67
Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Salisbury | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newcastle | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 21/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 70% | +0.15 |
| 28/06/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 12/08/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |