6
Footstepinthewoods
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 8 · OR 66
Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Bath | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Windsor | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 18/04/2026 | 22nd | 125/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/05/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 43% | -0.45 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |