1

Magic Box

3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 6 · OR 70

Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Did well in handicaps in 2025, scoring twice over 7f. However, below par all 3 starts this season so hopes pinned on first crack at 1m and ease in grade helping her cause.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chepstow 07/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f16y Goo 1287/0655 @ Kempton 03/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 63 · 7f Sta 125 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 63 par5 @ Hamilton 18/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 68 · 6f6y Goo 130 · beat its mark18/07/2025 · OR 68 par18/075OR 685 @ Catterick 23/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 68 · 7f6y Sft 133 · beat its mark23/07/2025 · OR 68 par4 @ Ayr 19/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 75 · 7f50y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 75 par19/094OR 754 @ Newcastle 02/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 76 · 7f14y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 76 par4 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 76 · 7f Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 76 par15/054OR 765 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 75 · 7f Goo 132 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Yarmouth 15/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 73 · 7f3y Goo 133 · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 73 par15/095OR 73projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Yarmouth57th7th0
2026-06-04Wetherby58th8th0
2026-05-15Newmarket44th3rd+1
2025-10-02Newcastle45th4th+1
2025-09-19Ayr42nd1st+1
2025-07-23Catterick51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0623/0715/0515/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20253rd9/153%67%+0.14
03/07/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
18/07/20252nd10/382%83%+0.01
23/07/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
19/09/20252nd85/4089%83%-0.05
02/10/20255th11/271%20%-0.51
15/05/20264th12/137%40%+0.03
04/06/20268th10/147%22%-0.25
15/09/20267th10/147%25%-0.22