8
Sail On Sailor
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 5 · OR 65
Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Sandown | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Bath | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 70/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/03/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 64% | -0.23 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 10/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |