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7

Wind Summer

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 3 · OR 66

Kempton · Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

81%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved when springing a surprise from the front over C&D in 4 weeks ago, well ridden but displaying good battling qualities. Task is to now replicate that form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 21/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Sta 13321/0955 @ Brighton 16/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f215y GF 1335 @ Lingfield 17/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m1y Std 13117/1255 @ Lingfield 31/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 65 · 7f1y Std 133 · beat its mark31/12/2025 · OR 65 par6 @ Kempton 28/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 65 · 1m 135 · below its mark28/01/2026 · OR 65 par28/016OR 655 @ Chelmsford City 12/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 63 · 1m Std 124 · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Wolverhampton 30/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 63 · 1m1f104y Std 133 · below its mark30/03/2026 · OR 63 par30/036OR 636 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 63 · 7f1y Std 134 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 62 · 1m Sta 132 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 62 par9/096OR 62projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton61st2nd−1
2026-08-13Lingfield612th13th−1
2026-03-30Wolverhampton67th8th−1
2026-03-12Chelmsford City52nd2nd0
2026-01-28Kempton67th8th−1
2025-12-31Lingfield53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0931/1230/039/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20258th16/116%0%-0.16
16/10/20257th66/10%14%+0.14
17/12/20252nd28/10%75%+0.75
31/12/20253rd5/174%78%+0.04
28/01/20267th8/158%0%-0.58
12/03/20262nd18/15%83%+0.78
30/03/20267th15/261%0%-0.61
13/08/202612th80/10%0%0.00
09/09/20261st33/10%100%+1.00