Katana

6yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 7

Kempton · Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 219y

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▲2

Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C5.3

Today: 3

Class gap: -2.2

Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-06-23	Newton Abbot	5	7th	9th	−2	1.0
2026-06-11	Worcester	5	2nd	4th	−2	5.6
2026-04-14	Vincennes	?	11th	11th	0	1.0
2026-03-01	Vire	5	12th	14th	−2	1.0
2026-02-23	Le Croise-Laroche	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-02-09	Graignes	6	5th	9th	−3	1.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength20%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
23/10/2025	3rd	33/1	0%	60%	+0.60
03/11/2025	5th	28/1	0%	33%	+0.33
18/12/2025	13th	66/1	0%	20%	+0.20
09/02/2026	5th	40/1	0%	64%	+0.64
23/02/2026	5th	12/1	37%	69%	+0.32
01/03/2026	12th	28/1	0%	35%	+0.35
14/04/2026	11th	28/1	0%	23%	+0.23
11/06/2026	2nd	18/1	5%	89%	+0.84
23/06/2026	7th	17/2	55%	33%	-0.22