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Noble Journey

3yo Colt · 9-11 · Draw 3

Kempton · Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 219y

#3

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Frankel colt. Dam smart 1¼m-12.5f winner who stayed 15.5f, won Prix Vermeille. Promising fourth of 7 in maiden at Newmarket (1m) in October 2025 and built on that when landing the odds at Chelmsford (1¼m) 12 days later. Off since but very interesting William Buick has selected him.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m Goo 1334/1045 @ Chelmsford City 16/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m2f Std 13316/105projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-16Chelmsford City51st3rd−2
2025-10-04Newmarket44th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1016/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +25.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20254th5/174%50%-0.24
16/10/20251st1/398%100%+0.02