5
Paniolo Creek
5yo Horse · 9-10 · Draw 2
Kempton · Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 3f 219y
#7
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Lingfield | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +33.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 400/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |