4

Fahidi

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 1 · OR 73

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Matched the form of his 2 juvenile outings when fourth of 9 in maiden at Yarmouth (1m) in April, still looking a shade rough around the edges. Did plenty wrong on handicap debut fitted with cheekpieces a month later and leading yard gelded him ahead of return/all-weather debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sandown 24/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS24/0743 @ Haydock 04/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f212y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS4/0934 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m3y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/0445 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 75 · 1m1f201y Gd 135 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 75 par23/055OR 75projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-23Salisbury511th11th0
2026-04-30Yarmouth44th3rd+1
2025-09-04Haydock33rd1st+2
2025-07-24Sandown46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/074/0930/0423/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 82/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -24.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20256th12/137%50%+0.13
04/09/20253rd4/179%75%-0.04
30/04/20264th7/282%63%-0.19
23/05/202611th5/174%9%-0.65