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3

Impossible Mission

3yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 3 · OR 73

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Value for extra when doubling his tally in a solid-looking 1¼m handicap at Windsor, overcoming trouble in running to score by ½-length in a sprint finish. 11.5f looked to just stretch him back there in August and given a short break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength60%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 15/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m Sta 13315/1055 @ Wolverhampton 24/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 72 · 1m1f104y Std 133 · beat its mark24/11/2025 · OR 72 par4 @ Lingfield 20/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 77 · 1m2f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 77 par20/034OR 773 @ Newmarket 15/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 76 · 1m2f Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Haydock 22/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 74 · 1m2f42y Goo 134 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 74 par22/055OR 744 @ Newbury 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 74 · 1m4f GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 72 · 1m3f99y GF 132 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 72 par22/065OR 725 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 71 · 1m2f Goo 132 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 73 · 1m3f99y GF 133 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 73 par13/085OR 73projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Windsor54th4th0
2026-07-13Windsor51st1st0
2026-06-22Windsor53rd3rd0
2026-06-11Newbury44th3rd+1
2026-05-22Haydock53rd3rd0
2026-04-15Newmarket37th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1015/0422/0613/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -11.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20253rd150/10%83%+0.83
24/11/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
20/03/20266th14/126%0%-0.26
15/04/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
22/05/20263rd28/10%80%+0.80
11/06/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
22/06/20263rd6/168%50%-0.18
13/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
13/08/20264th3/184%0%-0.84