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9

Katalyst

3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 6 · OR 59

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Seen to good effect when shedding maiden status over C&D 4 weeks ago. Up 2 lb but doesn't appeal as an obvious follow-up contender.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 28/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 65 · 1m1y Std 135 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 65 par28/046OR 655 @ Nottingham 19/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 63 · 1m75y Goo 123 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Nottingham 03/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 63 · 1m75y Goo 128 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 63 par3/065OR 636 @ Kempton 08/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 62 · 1m Sta 132 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Nottingham 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 60 · 1m1f Goo 131 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 60 par21/076OR 606 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 60 · 1m2f GF 135 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Nottingham 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m2f50y Goo 130 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 60 par11/086OR 606 @ Ffos Las 28/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m2f GS 134 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 57 · 1m2f219y Sta 130 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 57 par9/096OR 57projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton61st2nd−1
2026-08-28Ffos Las69th10th−1
2026-08-11Nottingham67th8th−1
2026-07-27Windsor64th5th−1
2026-07-21Nottingham62nd3rd−1
2026-07-08Kempton613th14th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/048/0711/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/04/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
19/05/20264th50/10%73%+0.73
03/06/202610th7/163%0%-0.63
08/07/202613th20/10%0%0.00
21/07/20262nd22/10%80%+0.80
27/07/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
11/08/20267th17/255%14%-0.41
28/08/20269th14/126%20%-0.06
09/09/20261st22/10%100%+1.00