5

Lucky Luna

3yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 4 · OR 73

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got off the mark in 7f maiden at Salisbury in June and resumed progress when runner-up in 6-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) last month. Plugged on for fifth at Newbury (1¼m) and slight step up in trip will help her cause.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/0544 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f1y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/0544 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 6f213y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS9/0644 @ Southwell 27/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 74 · 7f14y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 74 par27/074OR 745 @ Wolverhampton 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 73 · 1m1f105y Std 133 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 73 par1/095OR 734 @ Newbury 18/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 74 · 1m2f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 74 par18/094OR 74projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Newbury45th4th+1
2026-09-01Wolverhampton52nd2nd0
2026-07-27Southwell46th5th+1
2026-06-09Salisbury41st0th+1
2026-05-30Chester46th5th+1
2026-05-23Salisbury44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0530/059/0627/071/0918/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20264th6/168%73%+0.04
30/05/20266th3/184%50%-0.34
09/06/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
27/07/20266th18/15%55%+0.49
01/09/20262nd13/266%80%+0.14
18/09/20265th22/10%43%+0.43