Sax Avoidance
3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 7 · OR 74
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 1m 2f 219y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Salisbury | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Nottingham | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +11.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |