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Sea Brave

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 5 · OR 75

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well bred and promising start when second of 9 at Chelmsford in December. Not in the same form twice since having missed 8 months but he's in very capable hands and goes up in distance for handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chelmsford City 18/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS18/1244 @ Kempton 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS26/0844 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton44th3rd+1
2026-08-26Kempton42nd1st+1
2025-12-18Chelmsford City42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1226/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 6-8 · tight 68/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength24%

Delivery trend -14.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/12/20252nd13/266%88%+0.22
26/08/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
09/09/20264th9/276%70%-0.06