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7

St Hilda

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 9 · OR 69

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up in maiden/novice company during the spring but form has levelled off at up to 13f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength68%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 20/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f1y Std 12820/1154 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS27/0442 @ Goodwood 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f197y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS23/0524 @ Sandown 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m1f209y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 73 par4/074OR 734 @ Kempton 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 71 · 1m3f219y Sta 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 71 par19/084OR 715 @ Lingfield 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 70 · 1m5f Std 130 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 70 par1/095OR 70projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Lingfield54th4th0
2026-08-19Kempton43rd2nd+1
2026-07-04Sandown46th5th+1
2026-05-23Goodwood22nd-2th+3
2026-04-27Lingfield42nd1st+1
2025-11-20Lingfield54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1127/0423/054/0719/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 8-9 · tight 82/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -15.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/20254th16/116%77%+0.61
27/04/20262nd5/287%91%+0.04
23/05/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03
04/07/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
19/08/20263rd9/276%82%+0.06
01/09/20264th11/271%25%-0.46