10
Goldwork
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 7 · OR 74
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Div 1) · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Newmarket | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 8-10 · tight 81/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 23/05/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 47% | -0.05 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |