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6

Pixie Diva

4yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 10 · OR 77

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Div 1) · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won over 5f on all-weather at Newcastle in March, and ran well in defeat next 3 starts. Didn't last home encountering ground softer than good for the first time when fifth of 8 at Lingfield (6f) and whilst return to all-weather a plus, the trip remains a concern.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Doncaster 23/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 77 · 6f2y Goo 127 · beat its mark23/07/2025 · OR 77 par23/074OR 774 @ Newcastle 21/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 78 · 5f Std 134 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 78 par4 @ Haydock 05/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 79 · 5f Gd 136 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 79 par5/094OR 794 @ Southwell 13/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 78 · 6f16y Std 128 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Newcastle 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 76 · 5f Std 126 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 76 par27/034OR 764 @ Yarmouth 11/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 78 · 5f42y Gd 134 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Ascot 01/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR 78 · 5f Goo 128 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 78 par1/054OR 784 @ Thirsk 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 77 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Lingfield 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 77 · 6f Sft 135 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 77 par6/064OR 77projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Lingfield45th5th0
2026-05-16Thirsk43rd3rd0
2026-05-01Ascot48th8th0
2026-04-11Yarmouth42nd2nd0
2026-03-27Newcastle41st1st0
2026-03-13Southwell46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0713/031/056/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength33%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20252nd12/137%91%+0.54
21/08/20252nd11/271%92%+0.21
05/09/20257th7/282%54%-0.28
13/03/20266th4/179%17%-0.62
27/03/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
11/04/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08
01/05/20268th7/282%56%-0.25
16/05/20263rd4/179%88%+0.09
06/06/20265th9/488%43%-0.45