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4

Star Chorus

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 1 · OR 78

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Div 1) · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Struggled on turf over the summer, and run best excused last time when hampered at the start when twelfth of 15 at Goodwood 12 days ago, failing to build on fourth of 12 at Southwell. Return to all-weather and falling mark can see him dangerous.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 83 · 6f16y Std 132 · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 83 par20/024OR 833 @ Goodwood 22/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 87 · 5f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 87 par2 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 87 · 5f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 87 par6/062OR 874 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 86 · 6f12y GF 142 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 86 par3 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 85 · 5f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 85 par10/073OR 853 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 84 · 6f12y GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 84 par2 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 83 · 6f12y GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 83 par10/082OR 834 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 81 · 6f17y Std 136 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Goodwood 23/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 80 · 6f Goo 140 · below its mark23/09/2026 · OR 80 par23/094OR 80projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Goodwood412th12th0
2026-09-03Southwell44th4th0
2026-08-10Windsor211th9th+2
2026-07-27Windsor36th5th+1
2026-07-10Newmarket36th5th+1
2026-06-27Windsor45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0227/0610/0823/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength76%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/02/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
22/05/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
06/06/202615th66/10%26%+0.26
27/06/20265th66/10%56%+0.56
10/07/20266th18/15%55%+0.49
27/07/20266th25/10%58%+0.58
10/08/202611th33/10%33%+0.33
03/09/20264th10/147%73%+0.25
23/09/202612th25/10%21%+0.21