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9

Charlie Mason

5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 6 · OR 73

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Div 2) · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't kicked on since scoring at Lingfield in June this year but did take a step back in the right direction when third of 16 at Doncaster (6f, good to firm) just over 3 weeks ago. Considered from the same mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 72 · 5f21y Std 132 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 72 par20/035OR 725 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR 73 · 5f3y GS 133 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 73 · 6f Sta 123 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 73 par20/054OR 734 @ Lingfield 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 72 · 6f Sft 130 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 72 · 5f10y Goo 132 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 72 par12/064OR 724 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 76 · 6f20y Std 132 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 26 · OR 75 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 75 par29/074OR 754 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 74 · 6f Sft 134 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 73 · 6f2y Gd 130 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 73 par13/094OR 73projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster43rd3rd0
2026-09-01Ripon46th6th0
2026-07-29Goodwood412th12th0
2026-07-14Wolverhampton48th8th0
2026-06-12Sandown46th6th0
2026-06-06Lingfield41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/036/0629/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength75%

Delivery trend +6.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/03/20262nd1/195%88%-0.07
29/03/20267th3/184%63%-0.22
20/05/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
06/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
12/06/20266th5/287%38%-0.49
14/07/20268th7/163%22%-0.41
29/07/202612th40/10%56%+0.56
01/09/20266th15/261%44%-0.16
13/09/20263rd20/10%87%+0.87