1
Fifty Nifty
5yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 10 · OR 80
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Div 2) · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Newmarket | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Ascot | 2 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-08-22 | Newmarket | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Newmarket | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 5 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 40/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 27/07/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 9% | -0.49 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 82% | -0.06 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |