4
Wyle Cop
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 1 · OR 79
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Div 2) · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength43%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Lingfield | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Doncaster | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newbury | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 08/05/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |