Ararat
6yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 1 · OR 59
Kempton · Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Kempton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Windsor | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Sandown | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 4 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 11/07/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 17% | -0.39 |
| 23/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |