6
Fort Augustus
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 57
Kempton · Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Kempton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Southwell | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Southwell | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Southwell | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 66/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 14/09/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |