9
Kondratiev Wave
9yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 12 · OR 54
Kempton · Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Brighton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Brighton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Bath | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 61/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 63% | -0.30 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |