14
Maury
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 45
Kempton · Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap · 7f
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Brighton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 04/11/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 18/5 | 81% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 19/05/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 30% | -0.38 |
| 22/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 18/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 21/09/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |