2
Arc La Shari
3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 8 · OR 55
Kempton · Racing TV Handicap · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength52%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Southwell | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 4 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-17 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 2-11 · tight 36/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 14/06/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/09/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |