1

Bessie Wallis

3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 6 · OR 55

Kempton · Racing TV Handicap · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

All-weather novice winner (5f) as a juvenile but hasn't looked one to be interested in switched to handicaps this season, including 3 starts for new yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 18/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/0945 @ Lingfield 27/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f6y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Wolverhampton 01/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 71 · 5f21y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/12/2025 · OR 71 par1/124OR 715 @ Kempton 30/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 70 · 6f Sta 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Lingfield 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 68 · 4f217y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 68 par18/055OR 685 @ Leicester 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 66 · 5f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Lingfield 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 64 · 6f1y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 64 par17/085OR 646 @ Lingfield 01/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 62 · 6f1y Std 133 · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Kempton 23/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 58 · 7f Sta 130 · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 58 par23/096OR 58projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Kempton67th7th0
2026-09-01Lingfield68th8th0
2026-08-17Lingfield54th3rd+1
2026-06-08Leicester54th3rd+1
2026-05-18Lingfield55th4th+1
2026-04-30Kempton55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0930/0417/0823/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 2-11 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength47%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20255th25/10%56%+0.56
27/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
01/12/20256th11/142%0%-0.42
30/04/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
18/05/20265th12/137%43%+0.06
08/06/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
17/08/20264th40/10%25%+0.25
01/09/20268th100/10%0%0.00
23/09/20267th125/10%50%+0.50